Showing posts with label 2020 US. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2020 US. Show all posts

Monday, August 26, 2019

US President Trump aides say he isn’t ordering US companies out of China – WSJ

The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reports the weekend’s comments by the US President Trump’s top Economic Adviser Kudlow and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, as they clarified on Trump’s Friday’s tweet, ordering ordered US companies to look for alternatives to China after China said it would add more tariffs to US imports.
Kudlow said that Trump has no intent to invoke emergency powers and force companies to relocate operations from China.
Mnuchin noted that Trump wants US firms to start looking beyond China while adding that US President’s reference to the Fed Chair Powell as enemy not 'literal'.
China’s President Xi has become an enemy on trade issues, Mnuchin said.
The softer tones by the US officials on the trade issue combined with the Chinese Vice-Premier Liu's conciliatory remarks will likely help ease some nerves in Asia, as the risk-off trades appear to have eased off a bit.

Friday, August 23, 2019

We see further downside for global economy in coming months - Danske Bank



Danske Bank analysts expect the global economy to continue to weaken in coming months but see a stabilisation and a modest rebound on the back of monetary and fiscal stimulus after that.

Key quotes 

"Our new base case of no solution to the trade war between China and the US ahead of the 2020 US presidential election has led us to downgrade our growth trajectory for both advanced and emerging markets."

"The risk of a more pronounced downturn has increased (we assume 30% probability of a recession in the next two years). However, in our view, there is also possible upside from a sudden breakthrough in US-China trade negotiations, more aggressive central bank easing and still strong consumer confidence."
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US: Divergence between the industrial and the services sectors continues – TD Securities

Analysts at TD Securities, notes that the August ISM non-manufacturing index continued to highlight t...